maandag 30 maart 2009

Global Sea Ice back to Normal



We zijn weer terug bij af. We hebben 30 jaar zee ijs gemeten en we zijn geschrokken van de eerste echte variatie die op trad. Er was wat minder ijs. De variatie is weer weg, het ijs is terug, en we zijn weer terug bij af. Zie de links.
Onder andere de universiteit van Illinois (Chicago) houdt het ijs wereld wijd bij.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/

woensdag 25 maart 2009


De onderzoekers die het verdwijnen van de noordpool in kaart willen brengen worden weg gesneeuwd en kapot gevroren terwijl het ijs razendsnel aangroeit. Lees het geweldige verhaal:

The 'Global Warming Three' are on thin ice


The only problem with a project to prove that Arctic ice is disappearing is the fact that it is actually getting thicker, says Christopher Booker.

Explorer Pen Hadow's Catlin Arctic Project has top-level backing.
What a wonderful parable of our time has been the expedition to the North Pole led by the explorer Pen Hadow. With two companions, he is measuring the thickness of the ice to show how fast it is “declining”. His expedition is one of a series of events designed to “raise awareness of the dangers of climate change” before December’s conference in Copenhagen, where the warmists hope to get a new treaty imposing much more drastic cuts on CO2 emissions.

Hadow’s Catlin Arctic Project has top-level backing from the likes of the BBC, the WWF (it could “make a lasting difference to policy-relevant science”) and Prince Charles (“for the sake of our children and grandchildren, I pray that we will heed the results of the Catlin Arctic Survey and I can only commend this remarkably important project”).

Pen Hadow in bid to measure polar ice capWith perfect timing, the setting out from Britain of the “Global Warming Three” last month was hampered by “an unusually heavy snowfall”. When they were airlifted to the start of their trek by a twin-engine Otter (one hopes a whole forest has been planted to offset its “carbon footprint”), they were startled to find how cold it was. The BBC dutifully reported how, in temperatures of minus 40 degrees, they were “battered by wind, bitten by frost and bruised by falls on the ice”.

Thanks to the ice constantly shifting, it was “disheartening”, reported Hadow, to find that “when you’ve slogged for a day”, you can wake up next morning to find you have “drifted back to where you started’’. Last week, down to their last scraps of food, they were only saved in the nick of time by the faithful Otter. They were disconcerted to see one of those polar bears, threatened with extinction by global warming, wandering around, doubtless eyeing them for its dinner.

But at least one of the intrepid trio was able to send a birthday message to his mum, via the BBC, and they were able to talk by telephone to “some of the world’s most influential climate change leaders”, including Development Secretary Douglas Alexander in front of 300 people at “a conference on world poverty”.

The idea is that the expedition should take regular radar fixes on the ice thickness, to be fed into a computer model in California run by Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, whose team, according to the BBC, “is well known for producing results that show much faster ice-loss than other modelling teams”. The professor predicts that summer ice could be completely gone as early as next year. It took the Watts Up With That? science blog to point out that there is little point in measuring ice thickness unless you do it several years running, and that, anyway, Arctic ice is being constantly monitored by US Army buoys. The latest reading given by a typical sensor shows that since last March the ice has thickened by “at least half a metre”.

“In most fields of science,” comments WUWT drily, “that is considered an 'increase’ rather than a 'decline’.”

vrijdag 20 februari 2009

James (Jim) Hansen, Goddard Institute Columbia University

James Hansen (NASA Goddard Institute and Columbia University) en een van de meest vocale steunpilaren van Al Gore geeft Obama nog 4 jaar gegeven om de aarde te redden.

Huh? Maar is dat niet dezelfde meneer Hansen die...........ja, inderdaad, verrek..........


On July 9, 1971, the Post published a story headlined "U.S. Scientist Sees New Ice Age Coming." It told of a prediction by NASA and Columbia University scientist S.I. Rasool. The culprit: man's use of fossil fuels.
The Post reported that Rasool, writing in Science, argued that in "the next 50 years" fine dust that humans discharge into the atmosphere by burning fossil fuel will screen out so much of the sun's rays that the Earth's average temperature could fall by six degrees.
Sustained emissions over five to 10 years, Rasool claimed, "could be sufficient to trigger an ice age."
Aiding Rasool's research, the Post reported, was a "computer program developed by Dr. James Hansen," who was, according to his resume, a Columbia University research associate at the time.
So what about those greenhouse gases that man pumps into the skies? Weren't they worried about them causing a greenhouse effect that would heat the planet, as Hansen, Al Gore and a host of others so fervently believe today?
"They found no need to worry about the carbon dioxide fuel-burning puts in the atmosphere," the Post said in the story, which was spotted last week by Washington resident John Lockwood, who was doing research at the Library of Congress and alerted the Washington Times to his finding.
Hansen has some explaining to do. The public deserves to know how he was converted from an apparent believer in a coming ice age who had no worries about greenhouse gas emissions to a global warming fear monger.
This is a man, as Lockwood noted in his message to the Times' John McCaslin, who has called those skeptical of his global warming theory "court jesters." We wonder: What choice words did he have for those who were skeptical of the ice age theory in 1971?
People can change their positions based on new information or by taking a closer or more open-minded look at what is already known. There's nothing wrong with a reversal or modification of views as long as it is arrived at honestly.
But what about political hypocrisy? It's clear that Hansen is as much a political animal as he is a scientist. Did he switch from one approaching cataclysm to another because he thought it would be easier to sell to the public? Was it a career advancement move or an honest change of heart on science, based on empirical evidence?
If Hansen wants to change positions again, the time is now. With NASA having recently revised historical temperature data that Hansen himself compiled, the door has been opened for him to embrace the ice age projections of the early 1970s.
Could be he's feeling a little chill in the air again.


Last month, Hansen's former boss at NASA, Dr. John Theon, called Hansen an embarrassment, explained that NASA's models were never designed for forecasting, and rebuked scientists like Hansen who do not allow their work to be independently verified.

vrijdag 6 februari 2009

The warmest years

The warmest year in the past century was 1934, followed by 1998, 1921, 2006, 1931, 1999 and 1993. Four of the top 10 are from the 1930s, before auto emissions were a factor, while only three are from the last 10 years.



donderdag 29 januari 2009

Skeptici pakken Michael "Hockeystick" Mann weer hard aan



Vliegt er een bal, wordt ie gelijk terug geslagen.
Het is net Wimbeldon.

Michael Mann-et al hebben hun rapport over opwarmende zuidpool gepubliceerd gelijk gaan de sceptici los om het in stukjes te hakken.
 
Een zeer vertrouwd patroon begint er te ontstaan:

De georganiseerde alarmist zegt nieuwe feiten te hebben dat de wereld nu dan toch echt ten onder gaat. Vervolgens gaat een ongecoordineerd meute inidviduele skeptici zeggen dat de "nieuwe" nonsens zo waar nog erger zijn dan de "vorige" nonsense, en dat duidt op toeneemende paniek bij de alarmisten.

Allemaal buitengewoon vermakelijk om te lezen, zie de links.

http://detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20090127/OPINION01/901270306
http://planetgore.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MzQ4ODhmNDFiNGQyZDRmMjNkNjM2Y2M2ZTk5NzQyNDg=
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/4332784/Despite-the-hot-air-the-Antarctic-is-not-warming-up.html
http://news.scotsman.com/opinion/Vested-interests-on-both-sides.4914927.jp


De rol van de mainstream media heeft ook een patroon: wat opvalt is dat de media ruimte geeft aan een sceptisch geluid, maar altijd in de vorm van "opninie", "colum" of bijdrages "in private capacity". Blijkbaar is er een duidelijk collectief begrip van politiek (in)correctheid of mainstream versus subcultuur.

"De Media", dat ben je zelf. ......maarrre.....die "Mainstream Media", wie zijn dat eigenlijk ?
+++ www.geenmainstreammedia.blogspot.nl?+++


"MANN" made global warming


Ja, Michael "hockeystick" Mann did it again.

CNN, Reuters en de NYT zijn er weer in getrapt. Een nieuw "onafhankelijk" onderzoek heeft nu aangetoond dat ook Antartica nu eindelijk zou opwarmen, of zelfs al 50 jaar lang opwarmt. Antartica werd namelijk de laatste jaren zelfs wat koeler en dat klopte natuurlijk niet.
Het probleem met Antartica dat er pas sinds kort goede temperatuur gegevens zijn, en zeer weinig historische gegevens. Hoe heeft het team met wetenschappers deze 50 jarige opwarming nu onderzocht?
Wel hier is de truc:""The researchers used satellite data and mathematical formulas to fill in missing information about the continents warming report.""
Voor wie bekend is in de global warming controverse, doet dit denken aan de fameuse "hockeystick". De hockeystick is inmiddels veelvuldig gefalsifiseerd en teruggetrokken door de IPCC, omdat daar ook data was gecreerd waar er eigenlijk geen data was. Zo verdwenen o.a. de warme middeleeuwen uit de grafiek en werd de bultrug een hockeystick.
Wie was ookal weer de onderzoeker achter de hockeystick? Oh ja! Michael Mann, een persoonlijke vriend van Albert Gore. En wie leidde nu dit laatste "temperatuur reconstructie" onderzoek over Antartica?
Oh:... Michael Mann!

http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/01/21/eco.warmingantarctic/#cnnSTCText
http://uk.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUKTRE50K5BM20090121
http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1626477/study_claims_antarctica_is_losing_its_cool/


Antarctic warming trend
An illustration that depicts in red tones the warming that scientists have determined has occurred in West Antarctica during the last 50 years.

dinsdag 20 januari 2009

Vervuiling zorg voor afkoeling van de aarde


En daar gaan we weer.


Minder mist in Europa. Dus meer zon op de aarde. Dus een warmer Europa. Waarom minder mist? Minder vervuiling!!!

Dus vervuilen met je donder, anders stijgt de zeespiegel, donderen de ijskappen in en wordt Spanje een woestijn.

Dat we wat minder ver kunnen zien door de mist, neem ik dan wel op de koop toe.

Groetjes

Bogey